H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Dogs ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has reinforced decently since Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was at first anticipated to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm may wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a big and exceptionally powerful cyclone that caused huge destruction and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, as well as large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane cautions have actually now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That implies cyclone conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a typhoon that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has set off cyclone cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island countries and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to typhoon professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane specialists formerly warned cyclones could form in unusual locations later on in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major threats and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy